B2C

Trade tariffs threaten consumer uncertainty, as experts look to supply chains for a crystal ball

Dec 9, 2024

Paramark News Desk

Credit trade.gov

Key Points

  • Trump's proposal for increased tariffs on China, Mexico, and Canada is raising concerns about the future of global trade dynamics and consumer spending

  • Examining supply chain trends could offer insights into what's to come, and how marketers and business owners can prepare

At this point, we haven't seen a meaningful delta from past trends, which points to people waiting to see what's going to happen.

Kyle Henderson

CEO
,
Vizion

More unknowns: The past few years have been historically tough on consumers – and equally as trying for the upstream companies and marketers tasked with cracking the code of consumer demand. Prices have been a moving target (often rising, rarely falling) with record inflation, record gas prices, a contentious election, and now the unknown impact of the incoming Trump Administration's global trade tariffs.

As the President-elect prepares to take office, his announcement of increased tariffs on products from China, Mexico and Canada raises questions about the future of international trade dynamics. Will protectionist strategies effectively address complex socio-economic issues they aim to solve, while also leaving the average American buyer relatively unscathed?

Tariffs vs. tactics: "The question is whether [Trump's plan] will turn out to be actual tariffs put in place, or if it's a geopolitical negotiation tactic," says Kyle Henderson, the CEO of Vizion, a fast-growing supply chain technology startup. Henderson has been in the industry for over a decade helping the largest consumer brands implement digitization across international logistics.

According to Henderson, assuming the tariffs do take effect, quantifying the impact will take time, as the new tariffs require major changes in the global flow of goods, causing a lag in data feedback. "The concern will end up being how long consumers take on additional costs, and will it give companies enough time to recalibrate their supply chain network to be able to claw back margins."

The question is whether [Trump's plan] will turn out to be actual tariffs put in place, or if it's a geopolitical negotiation tactic.

Kyle Henderson

CEO
,
Vizion

Waiting game: Henderson's company is arguably one of the most well-positioned authorities to predict pricing on Main Street. Vizion's DaaS tools record more than 50% of all freight bookings that happen worldwide every day – including the company that books it, what goods enter the containers, which receiver handles it, and who financed it.

Speaking about the early impacts of Trump's tariff announcements, Henderson says, "We've been looking out for changing trends in terms of bookings for cargo and international ocean freight. At this point, we haven't seen a meaningful delta from past trends, which points to people waiting to see what's going to happen."

The big picture: A wait-and-see approach isn't always aligned with the job of marketers who need plan their spend weeks, months, and quarters in advance. But perhaps examining logistics insights can offer a crystal ball that will inform savvy retailers' wholesale strategies, and thus drive downstream changes in consumer preferences. If goods from China become financially less attractive, two other producers are poised to fill the void. Particularly in consumer electronics, India and Vietnam are posturing to re-brand as technically advanced exporters of high quality goods.

"They're not trying to be the cheapest location for manufacturing anymore. They are leveraging advanced manufacturing in order to win business from China and compliment their other exports like textiles and low cost goods," says Henderson. Logistically speaking, "Vietnam's supply chains are on the exact same trade lanes as China, and it has been positioning itself to be extremely friendly to western businesses."

B2C

Trade tariffs threaten consumer uncertainty, as experts look to supply chains for a crystal ball

Dec 9, 2024

Paramark News Desk

Credit trade.gov

Key Points

  • Trump's proposal for increased tariffs on China, Mexico, and Canada is raising concerns about the future of global trade dynamics and consumer spending

  • Examining supply chain trends could offer insights into what's to come, and how marketers and business owners can prepare

At this point, we haven't seen a meaningful delta from past trends, which points to people waiting to see what's going to happen.

Kyle Henderson

CEO
,
Vizion

More unknowns: The past few years have been historically tough on consumers – and equally as trying for the upstream companies and marketers tasked with cracking the code of consumer demand. Prices have been a moving target (often rising, rarely falling) with record inflation, record gas prices, a contentious election, and now the unknown impact of the incoming Trump Administration's global trade tariffs.

As the President-elect prepares to take office, his announcement of increased tariffs on products from China, Mexico and Canada raises questions about the future of international trade dynamics. Will protectionist strategies effectively address complex socio-economic issues they aim to solve, while also leaving the average American buyer relatively unscathed?

Tariffs vs. tactics: "The question is whether [Trump's plan] will turn out to be actual tariffs put in place, or if it's a geopolitical negotiation tactic," says Kyle Henderson, the CEO of Vizion, a fast-growing supply chain technology startup. Henderson has been in the industry for over a decade helping the largest consumer brands implement digitization across international logistics.

According to Henderson, assuming the tariffs do take effect, quantifying the impact will take time, as the new tariffs require major changes in the global flow of goods, causing a lag in data feedback. "The concern will end up being how long consumers take on additional costs, and will it give companies enough time to recalibrate their supply chain network to be able to claw back margins."

The question is whether [Trump's plan] will turn out to be actual tariffs put in place, or if it's a geopolitical negotiation tactic.

Kyle Henderson

CEO
,
Vizion

Waiting game: Henderson's company is arguably one of the most well-positioned authorities to predict pricing on Main Street. Vizion's DaaS tools record more than 50% of all freight bookings that happen worldwide every day – including the company that books it, what goods enter the containers, which receiver handles it, and who financed it.

Speaking about the early impacts of Trump's tariff announcements, Henderson says, "We've been looking out for changing trends in terms of bookings for cargo and international ocean freight. At this point, we haven't seen a meaningful delta from past trends, which points to people waiting to see what's going to happen."

The big picture: A wait-and-see approach isn't always aligned with the job of marketers who need plan their spend weeks, months, and quarters in advance. But perhaps examining logistics insights can offer a crystal ball that will inform savvy retailers' wholesale strategies, and thus drive downstream changes in consumer preferences. If goods from China become financially less attractive, two other producers are poised to fill the void. Particularly in consumer electronics, India and Vietnam are posturing to re-brand as technically advanced exporters of high quality goods.

"They're not trying to be the cheapest location for manufacturing anymore. They are leveraging advanced manufacturing in order to win business from China and compliment their other exports like textiles and low cost goods," says Henderson. Logistically speaking, "Vietnam's supply chains are on the exact same trade lanes as China, and it has been positioning itself to be extremely friendly to western businesses."